Watch
What Ping sees in the last minutes of each market, for trading by hand. Nothing here places an order.
Watching: Bitcoin price up down · every 15 minutes KXBTC15M. Markets appear 5 minutes before their close.
On a member's copy this page shows, for every watched market in its last minutes, the line, the live settlement index, the projected settlement, the side the arithmetic favours, a win rate for that exact situation measured from the member's own recorded windows (with the lab's public measurement standing in until there are enough), the ask, the edge after Kalshi's taker fee, and the odds a human clicking at human speed still gets the offer.
Where nothing has been measured, the market's price is the best estimate we have. Every model the lab tested against Kalshi's price on public information lost to the market.
The last minute edge lives in a few seconds, and a person clicking gets the worse fills. The slower markets are where a human can act: the hourly and daily crypto markets, the perps, and the macro markets on a calendar.