The Seats

Every week the board lists a hundred-odd seats. A seat is one trading rule, running on one kind of market, with its own clock and its own money. This page says what each one actually does, with the real trigger and the real threshold, so you can check our claims instead of trusting them.

Almost every seat here trades on paper, at the price the order book was actually showing. One desk trades real money; it is marked as such below and its complete daily record is on the proof page. Paper or real, every fill is charged the fee Kalshi would actually charge. Takers pay ceil(7 × price × (100 − price) / 10000) cents per contract. Makers pay nothing on more than 98% of Kalshi series and a quarter of the taker rate on about 130 of them, which the fee study lists in full. That fee is why a seat can pick winners and still finish red, and it's the most common thing this lab has proven so far.

The rest of this page is the reference itself: every seat on the board, grouped by market, with the trigger and the threshold each one actually fires on, plus the retirement notes for the ones that died. It is the working document behind every weekly board, and it is kept current as seats are added and cut.

Every seat this lab has run

Rewritten by machine on 1 November 2026. Names and status only. What each seat fires on, and what it has earned or lost, is below for members. The live desk's day by day money is public at /proof/.

168 seats across 9 desks. 23 running, 145 stopped.

whale grid

One idea, tested across 72 combinations of family and price band. All stopped.

maker

• Market-making · BTC — quiet
• Market-making · DOGE 15-min — quiet
• Market-making · ETH — quiet
• Market-making · ETH 15-min — quiet
• Market-making · GLD 15-min — quiet
• Market-making · League of Legends — quiet
• Market-making · League of Legends, map clock — quiet
• Market-making · NEAR 15-min — quiet
• Market-making · S&P 500 index — quiet
• Market-making · SLV 15-min — quiet
• Market-making · SOL — quiet
• Market-making · SOL 15-min — quiet
• Market-making · WTI 15-min — quiet
• Market-making · XRP 15-min — quiet
• Market-making · XRP 15-min, variant — retired
• Market-making · ZEC 15-min — quiet
• Market-making · crypto 15-min, ZEC & NEAR — retired
• Market-making · crypto 15-min, book A — quiet
• Market-making · crypto 15-min, book A with the reachability filter — quiet
• Market-making · crypto 15-min, book B — retired
• Market-making · crypto 15-min, book C — quiet
• Market-making · crypto 15-min, join the bid — quiet
• Market-making · crypto 15-min, multi-asset — quiet
• Market-making · crypto 15-min, pair completion — quiet
• Market-making · crypto 15-min, resting offers — quiet
• Market-making · esports, multi-title — quiet

live money

• Live · the last-minute rule (settings held until the 60-trade verdict) — running
• Live · NEAR 15-min — quiet
• Live · WTI 15-min — retired
• Live · XRP 15-min — quiet
• Live · crypto 15-min, book A — quiet
• Live · crypto 15-min, book B — retired
• Live · crypto 15-min, multi-asset — quiet
• Live · crypto 15-min, paired book — retired
• Live · crypto 15-min, resting offers — quiet
• Live · crypto 15-min, two-sided book — quiet
• Live · natural gas 15-min — quiet
• Live · weather — quiet
• Retired · liquidity-rebate quoter — retired
• Retired · taker bots, before the lab — quiet

other

• Fed decision · gap (new) — running (too new to judge)
• Buy the extremes — quiet
• Buy the favorite — quiet
• Buy the longshot — quiet
• Chase the jump — quiet
• Esports fallers — quiet
• Fade the move — retired
• Fade the whale — quiet
• Follow the whale — quiet
• Last-minute entry — quiet
• Polymarket gap — quiet
• Tennis favorites — retired
• Whale mid-price — quiet
• value — quiet

paper lanes

• Last-minute rule — running
• Late favourite sniper — running
• Mention markets — running
• Night vs day test — running
• Perp pressure, honest fills — running
• Rotten Tomatoes — running (too new to judge)
• Rotten Tomatoes, early window — running
• Sniper on four coins — running
• Speech markets — running
• Tennis tournament favourite, resting — running
• Tennis tournament favourite, taking — running
• Bitcoin daily favourite — quiet
• Commodity favourite, no distance filter — quiet

crypto 15-min

• Buy the favourite, 88 to 96c — running
• Buy the longshot, 5c or less — running
• Early favourite, coins agree — running
• Early leaning favourite — running
• Fade an early extreme — running
• Fade the spike — running
• Follow the perpetual — running
• Late extreme favourite — running
• Late favourite that held twice — running
• The laggard coin — running
• A machine-learning model — quiet
• An early sniper — quiet

hourly crypto

• Crypto daily · ETH vol — quiet
• Crypto daily · SOL vol — quiet
• Crypto daily · favorite — quiet
• Crypto daily · implied vol — quiet
• Crypto daily · longshot — retired
• Crypto daily · model — quiet

weather

• Weather · Austin — quiet
• Weather · Chicago — quiet
• Weather · Denver — quiet
• Weather · Miami — quiet
• Weather · New York — quiet
• Weather · Philadelphia — quiet

esports paper

• Esports · clutch rounds — quiet
• Esports · fallers — retired
• Esports · favorites — quiet
• Esports · longshots — retired
• Esports · momentum — quiet

Most of them are stopped, and that is the point of the lab. A seat earns its place by beating fees over a large enough sample, not by winning often.