Picking winners after the fact: members appendix
All nine coins, the exact rule and the stricter recheck.
Kalshi bot course, lesson 4: honest fills, or how a paper result lies to you
Touched is not filled. A fill report for your paper bot or Ping that shows the size of the touch-counting lie in cents per contract, with the prompt that builds it.
We ran the same Kalshi rule on paper and with real money. The misses were the winners
69 real orders against their paper twins: about half the paper number never arrived, and the gap was not the price.
Paper vs real money: members appendix
All 53 decisions, trade by trade.
The four best coins made 5.9 cents in week one. Here is what a fresh test showed
We picked the best 4 of 9 coins, then tested them on trades nobody had seen.
The members' room
Where members and the lab talk: Ping, your rules, the live record. Comments are the room.
Kalshi bot course, lesson 3: turn the test into a paper bot that records every decision
A paper bot that rests orders the way a real one would, counts a fill only when a trade prints through, and writes down every decision, including the ones not to trade. With the prompt that builds it.
Ping is ready: the lab's bot, on your computer
The paper-trading bot the lab runs is now something you can run yourself. Demo for everyone, install for members, live version next.
State of the Lab — Oct 25, 2026 — desk appendix
State of the Lab — Oct 25, 2026 — full board
State of the Lab — Oct 25, 2026
No. 13 · 25 Oct 2026 · All ponds State of the Lab — week ending Oct 25, 2026 The Heron · 2 min read · da9c731a…7012e6 2026-10-25T04:51Z This week the lab ran 21 seats across 3 desks and settled 35,558 trades, nearly all simulated, 44 of them real money. Best seat:
One quick question from the lab
Hit reply: three quick questions for our first members.