Picking winners after the fact: members appendix
All nine coins, the exact rule and the stricter recheck.
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Kalshi bot course, lesson 4: honest fills, or how a paper result lies to you
Touched is not filled. A fill report for your paper bot or Ping that shows the size of the touch-counting lie in cents per contract, with the prompt that builds it.
We ran the same Kalshi rule on paper and with real money. The misses were the winners
69 real orders against their paper twins: about half the paper number never arrived, and the gap was not the price.
Paper vs real money: members appendix
All 53 decisions, trade by trade.
The four best coins made 5.9 cents in week one. Here is what a fresh test showed
We picked the best 4 of 9 coins, then tested them on trades nobody had seen.