State of the Lab — Oct 18, 2026 — full board
The live bot fill by fill with its exact rule, every paper strategy's all-time record, and the night vs day verdict in full.
The live bot fill by fill with its exact rule, every paper strategy's all-time record, and the night vs day verdict in full.
The 15 minute Bitcoin markets settle on an average, not a price. The arithmetic on 635 real settlements, the prompt that builds a settlement watcher, and our live record so far.
Real money is back on, and speed turned out to be the problem. Plus two studies, and the night vs day test's verdict.
The live last-minute rule exactly as it runs: settings, engine timings, stops, verdict bar and every real fill.
We replayed 5,742 moments in 960 Kalshi Bitcoin markets: how often offers are still there, and why slow bots get the losing trades.